The shmita year, which we have just begun has called forth a remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing that aims to recover the values of the shmita and implement them in relevant and creative ways. One method of looking at a potential Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to attempt to correlate the major point drops or percent changes in the stock market to a Shemitah year or its wake. Mike Wilson, the chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley, was the No. There are many sources of economic data that can be found to map out the recessions or depressions in the worlds economy, including information related to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as well as the booms and busts in the stock markets or bond markets, the increases and decreases in currency values, or the rise and fall of unemployment. Thus, according to the Law of Moses, there was a Sabbath every seven days for man to rest and a Sabbath every seven years (Shemitah) for the land to rest. Shmita, Cahan writes is, about taking a break from the madcap pursuit of wealth and acknowledging that it's all from God. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. It will be determined this year. In the same chapter of Leviticus where the Shemitah laws were revealed, Moses went on to describe the laws related to the year of Jubilee: You are also to count off seven sabbaths of years for yourself, seven times seven years, so that you have the time of the seven sabbaths of years, namely, forty-nine years. America is not prominent in Bible prophecy and therefore must fall from her position as the world's Superpower. Reppond Investments, Inc. reserves the right to trade different ETFs or mutual funds within a strategy than those reflected in the graphic shown. I call this proposition the Shemitah Effect, after a Biblical law and the Jewish name that is used to describe it. name for ourselves" Genesis 11:4. May I have seen this post in December, I could have saved my tons of money, The market crashes every 7 years! Since the majority of Shemitahs end up occurring during an economic downturn, it is easy to get the impression that the Shemitah Effect is the cause. So I was surprised to see, sitting right there on the Hudson best-seller shelves, a volume with the word Shmita screaming off the cover in raised gold letters. As business picks up, people invest, share prices rise, people get excited and invest more, still more investors pile into the market, as everyone seems to me making loads of money so effortlessly; theres exhuberance and euphoria until a few smart alicks figure that assets are inflated way beyond their real values; euphoria gives way to doubt to anxiety to full blown panic; people runs for the hills, the cycle screeches into reverse, fortunes are lost and the whole thing starts all over again. https://www.instagram.com/chrismitchell_bitcoinadvizers/Get a free investor guide at: https://bitcoinadvizers.com/ How to set up a Trading View for free: https://youtu.be/oEzxwWiQdCYTrading View Affiliate Discount Link: https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?shAndroid link: https://play.google.com/store/apps/deIOS link: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/bitcoin ***NOT FINANCIAL, LEGAL, OR TAX ADVICE! Your harvests aftergrowth you shall not reap, and your grapes of untrimmed vines you shall not gather; the land shall have a sabbatical year. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. Thus, while the last few Shemitahs have almost exactly correlated to market crashesand as Jonathan Cahn has said they may be indicative of a broader approaching judgment upon Americawe will not be able to use the Shemitah Effect to predict what will happen during the next Shemitah year in 2021-2022. For instance, someone who publishes a new insight related to the Bible or a new way of interpreting prophecy related to the End Times often generates a lot of excitement and attention, and they may even sell millions of books; however, attention and book sales dont necessarily mean that the conclusions are accurate. This is an interesting question and one in which Jonathan Cahn proposed to answer in his books. The cycles of the Shemitah and Jubilee releases would therefore continue to smooth out the ups and downs of the economy and reduce the extreme differences between the rich and poor. Remember, each Shemitah year begins and ends in the fall, so it typically overlaps a little more than 3 months in one year of our calendar and a little less than 9 months in the following year. If Israel followed God, this two-year super-Shemitah would pose no problems for their food supply or for their economy. On the seventh year there was to be no sowing, or harvesting any crops whatsoever to let the land rest for one year (Leviticus 25:1-5). Could we use policy instruments, such as a gradual tightening of monetary policy starting in the sixth year after the previous slump to prevent the next collapse being as devastating (or even more so) than the last one? This represents a 70% correlation of the Shemitah Effect to the most significant point drops in stock market history. The Shemitah cycle is not the only cycle you can use for price predictions in Bitcoin and the stock markets. Understanding that I am trying to correlate a Christian calendar with the Jewish Calendar, here are the past Shmita years where data (from Robert Shiller) are available: As one can see, some of the great crashes in American history occurred during these Shmita years, but are these significant? 1901-1902 Shmita Year - 46% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. But since then, the popular index is down a little . THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. A more in depth analysis would conclude that breathing has nothing to do with eventual death, even if everyone who breaths does eventually die. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. 25:4). Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. For the author, the United States of America is Gods true chosen nation with which God made a new covenant. A detail, but relevant right now, as the US is about to erase student debt. Despite these promised benefits that the Shemitah and Jubilee observances would bring to Israel, it was unfortunately rarely if ever followed during the years of the First Kingdom and the First Temple period. Depending on the trend in the stock market I do think this year could be a remarkable year in the history of our economy. Add to the fact that this pandemic is not going out quietly, we will eventually find out that stock markets do not like uncertainty. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. He said that once every seven years any Hebrews used as slaves among the people would have to be freed (Jeremiah 34:13-14). Stock market indices are unmanaged, broadly based indices, which differ in numerous respects from the specific portfolio composition. You shall have the fiftieth year as a jubilee; you shall not sow, nor reap its aftergrowth, nor gather in from its untrimmed vines. The stock market follows and amplifies the cycle. Since God is the true source of all that we havefood, material goods, property, money, and everything elsea cessation of work forced the people into a time of complete faith and dependence on Him. Fruit that grew on trees could be picked by anyone and eaten. If the nation followed God in the Shemitah and Jubilee, they would be prosperous and at rest in their land; however, if the nation turned away from God and didnt follow these laws, they would suffer the effects of the Shemitah as a judgment and with extremely negative consequences. In addition, if the poor sold their property because they needed the money, their family would eventually be assured of gaining it back at the Jubilee. Many other laws also have a universal connotation. The above methods of correlating the Shemitah years or their wake to an observed drop in an economic indicator do not represent the optimal way of showing that a Shemitah Effect is really occurring. So what makes this Shemitah cycle so interesting? Life savings and pensions were decimated, homes were lost while homelessness, poverty and misery grew. Thus, the 12 tribes of Israel and the families owning property within their territorial regions would never completely lose their land to another family or tribe. hewn stones. There is always some rational, well-grounded economic reason why the current boom whether in South Sea stocks, internet companies or residential real estate will go on for ever and ever. In addition, although the Shemitah of 1930-1931 occurred right in the middle of the long stock market slide at the beginning of the Great Depression, the Shemitah year did not occur during the Dows initial severe collapse during the fall of 1929. This served to reinforce their reliance on God and decrease their reliance on their own initiative, which is exactly what the Lord wanted to happen. The Lord prevents such precise predictions (and guaranteed monetary gains) by making the Shemitah Effect more of a probability and less of a certainty. An excellent set of concise economic graphs to use for this purpose can be found at stockcharts.com, which also allows the creation of custom graphs with any desired economic data. Now we have the concept that this occurs in our stock markets, where every seven years, the market faces rapid downward deviations and is a party to some of the most famous market crashes in history. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the Lords remission has been proclaimed.. The 1994 bond market massacre is remembered with horror by those who lived through it. Your email address will not be published. The Shemitah thus had one aspect related to a Sabbatical rest and another aspect for the remission of all debts within Israel. Leaving aside Cahans highly dubious theology, (since when did George Washington or the other Founding Fathers have a direct line to the divine?) In particular, we should seriously consider whether such a force really exists and if it is affecting the unfolding of world events in the last days. The beginning of American to rise to world power. So, at the climax of the 2001 Shmita came two falls; a colossal collapse in Wall Street Similarly, in more recent times, the Shemitah years of 2000-2001, 2007-2008 and 2014-2015 correlated almost perfectly to major market downturns, but there was a lack of correlation to the market declines that occurred in the years between them. Yedidya Julian Sinclair works in the Israeli clean tech world. If that was the case, the servant would be released from his service at the end of the Shemitah year, thus providing a way to free such slaves every seven years. The Largest Percent Changes in the Dow Jones industrial Average, RankDateCloseNet Change% ChangeShemitah Years or Wake11987-10-191738.74508.0022.6121929-10-28260.6438.3312.82 31899-12-1858.277.9411.99 41929-10-29230.0730.5711.73 51929-11-06232.1325.559.92 61932-08-1263.115.798.40 71907-03-1476.236.898.29 81987-10-261793.93156.838.0492008-10-158577.91733.087.87101933-07-2188.717.557.84 111937-10-18125.7310.577.75122008-12-018149.09679.957.70132008-10-098579.19678.917.33141917-02-0188.526.917.24151997-10-277161.15554.267.18 161932-10-0566.075.097.15 172001-09-178920.7684.817.13181931-09-24107.798.207.07191933-07-2096.267.327.07 202008-09-2910365.45777.686.98. If we continue the upwards trend entering 2021, approaching September we should pay attention. Please use the following structure: [email protected], Send me The Times of Israel Daily Edition. An investor cannot invest directly in these. You shall then sound a rams horn abroad on the tenth day of the seventh month; on the day of atonement you shall sound a horn all through your land. Thus, the Lord kept them away from their land in judgment for a full 70 years to allow the land to rest for the 70 Shemitahs that Israel ignored. Perhaps 2022, the next Shmita year, will have some upheavals. Major crashes in the stock market are correlated with the Shemitah years. modern history. In some cases, the rate increased during the Shemitah, while in other cases the increase occurred after the Shemitah year was over (in its wake). Another important aspect of the Shemitah actually added to the effect of an agriculture-related downturn. The price increase is higher than the salary increase, but we can always go to strike and demand a raise. Its going to be a very bumpy year until Sept 24-27 already look at the signs very volitale market, supply chain on last thread, oil prices through the roof ( US cannot sustained price of oil over $100 ) they are predicting $150-175 barell, famine in Africa, major drought in 3/4 of US . Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: The current sabbath year ends on September 26th, but so what? 9/11 and Global recession. Investments in securities will not always be profitable. Perhaps 2022, the next Shmita year, will have some upheavals. Speak to the sons of Israel and say to them, When you come into the land which I shall give you, then the land shall have a sabbath to the Lord. 1979-1980 Shmita Year - U.S. and global recession. If you make a sale, moreover, to your friend or buy from your friends hand, you shall not wrong one another. It doesnt matter if hes right or wrong, what matters is you and your view of things. All of you shall have the sabbath products of the land for food; yourself, and your male and female slaves, and your hired man and your foreign resident, those who live as aliens with you. Markets therefore adjust swiftly and efficiently, remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing, Israel Unfiltered: The future of meeting up in person, The Next Web, ChatGPT, and The Creator Economy, Netanyahu to make statement to nation as bipartisan MKs call for judicial compromise, As protests sweep nation, police use aggressive means to clear Tel Aviv rally, Gantz to PM: Talk now before we face civil war; Herzog: Country could fall to abyss, Israel should wipe out Palestinian town of Huwara, says senior minister Smotrich. Im not the first analyst using time cycles to predict movements in the financial markets. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. The goal of the Shmita Project is to significantly raise awareness of the concept of shmita in Jewish tradition, both as a way to learn about how extraordinary and rich Jewish tradition is, and to animate conversation and change in the world, based on the values and teachings of shmita and focus on environmental sustainability, rest and overwork, SHEMITAH CYCLE - YouTube 0:00 / 14:10 STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE END OF 2022!? Feb. 28, 2023 at 3:56 a.m. Notice the Shmita was nearly the low. Although Cahn concluded that there was a positive correlation between the Shemitah and economic downturns, this positive conclusion occurred, because Cahns analysis did not include all possible data points; neither did it use standard scientific methods of statistical analysis. We actually cant tell from Cahns book if the Shemitah Effect really does exist or if it is rather that the global economy is so messed up and it collapses so often that sometimes a downturn just happens to correlate with a Shemitah year. Please contact us in case of abuse. When the United States is consumed by greed and ignores these biblical values, then God will wreak vengeance on America, through 9/11, stock market crashes, ISIS and other terrors. Here is a chart comparing all of the years: It is hard to understand what to do with this data. 2022 was a nasty year for the stock market, but a wonderful one for market numerologists. This information couldve been doctored or misrepresented by the internet. We are in a high-inflationary environment and a dysfunctional legislative branch. Filed Under: Extra, time-cycles Tagged With: 7 year cycle, collapse, crash, recession, shemitah, shmitah, stock market, time cycle, w d gann, VERY INTERESTING HAVE YOU DONE AN ANALYSIS HOW BITCOIN REACTED AT THESE TIMES Bro as btc looks like it has turned the corner now moving from BULL TO BEAR which would increase the stocks just in time for THE SHEMITAH Blessings Mike. efforts and I will be waiting for your next write ups thank you once again. Corresponding to the number of years after the jubilee, you shall buy from your friend; he is to sell to you according to the number of years of crops. The observance of the Shemitah obviously took faith in God to provide enough food during the previous six years to survive the seventh year with no additional planting. The seventh year is meant to be a reset, a return to the real values that underpin our increasingly frantic efforts. This is wsb content right here. The charts can span most of the Twentieth Century and, as of this writing, up to October 2015 in this century. 179 views Sep 16, 2022 7 Dislike Share Bitcoin Advizers 346 subscribers Buy the Roomer Sell the news ! In proportion to the extent of the years you shall increase its price, and in proportion to the fewness of the years you shall diminish its price, for it is a number of crops he is selling to you. Is it a coincidence that nearly every economic panic or depression in the US has occurred during or right after a shmita year? Founder slams mozilla foundation cryptocurrency. Jubilee is based on letting the land rest every 7th year, known as the Shmita year. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE END OF 2022!? Even your cattle and the animals that are in your land shall have all its crops to eat.. To the nation that upholds the ways of God it comes as a blessing. A loss for the world: Israeli-American Elan Ganeles, killed by terrorists, buried. The implication is that just as there is a rhythm to the work week whereby activity needs to be punctuated by periods of rest, so too, a parallel rhythm pertains over a seven year cycle; we need periods of rest and renewal. Were now less than a month away from the end of the current shemita as well as the current yubilee-year. To detect a Shemitah Effect and see if it is broader than just its relationship to Israel, we need to first map out the times that correspond to the Shemitah years within the Jewish and Gregorian calendars. The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. hewn stones." 1916-1917 - 40% of the US stock market value wiped out. When ancient Israel uttered these prideful words God brought judgment upon the There's been a major financial disruption in seven of the eight Shmita years dating back to 1966: Read more Well, that was my two satoshis on the upcoming shemita.. For meg om meg, se https://dagruneflaaten.com/. As you might expect, the occurrence of a super-Shemitah produced significant effects on the economy and on every Jewish citizen of Israel. If Israel followed God in these things, then the Shemitah would bring a great benefit and blessing; essentially providing for each farming family a full year off every seven years from cultivating, planting, and harvesting. The previous salary increase was higher than the last one, so were kind of happy. As can be seen, there are some Shemitah years that actually do correlate well to downturns in the stock market; particularly, these are represented by the years 1902-1903, 1909-1910, 1916-1917, 1930-1931, 1937-1938 (at its start), 1965-1966, 1972-1973, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2014-2015. Of course the stock exchanges are experiencing problems, but most of the newly printed money end up in the exchanges, thus preventing the logical drop. Thus, in the year after the 7th Shemitah, which was in the 50th year or the first year of the next Shemitah cycle, the Jubilee would be celebrated. In a personal communication with Adrian Zenz, he told me, from the empirical economic evidence it is impossible to demonstrate or prove a Shemitah effect, as shown also by the low explanatory power scores in my statistical testing, based on different Shemitah time periods. Fortunately, this is a simple process, as Israel has been faithfully tracking the Shemitah time cycles (although not strictly observing the Mosaic Law) from the time that the Temple was destroyed in 70 AD. This happened to be a Shemitah year. What this meant is that any person or family that sold their property to another Hebrew would get their property back at the end of every 7 Shemitahs. whoah this blog is wonderful i love reading your articles. No worries, just going about their lives as before. This universal Shemitah Effect would presumably occur even if the nations did not follow the Mosaic principles of this law. Lets look at this effect in more detail by considering more extensive data sets. The Bible is absolutely a book of great importance, at least for lots of religious people. The story behind the Shemitah is that the 7th year is the year of resting and releasing. Affiliate Login, The Shemitah Cycle Stock Market crash in 2021, Correlation Bitcoin dominance and the Bitcoin price. 1 Tech Stock Leading the Market Recovery. 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in modern history. This type of downward pressure on the global financial system may also cause the rise and fall of empires and countries, as economic upheavals often cause major political power shifts. As can be seen, there are some Shemitah years that actually do correlate well to downturns in the stock market; particularly, these are represented by the years 1902-1903, 1909-1910, 1916-1917, 1930-1931, 1937-1938 (at its start), 1965-1966, 1972-1973, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2014-2015. Fine grows lettuce and kale using hydroponics on raised platforms to fulfill the biblical commandment to let his farmlands rest every seventh year. The next Shemitah year will start in September of 2021. The data therefore indicates that throughout this period of over a century in length, 11 Shemitahs out of 17 show a definite Shemitah Effect relative to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. U.S. Voted to Rigel senior . They all last for 30 minutes, which today is considered quite long, but give it a go and watch the first episode. U.S. lost its first war - Vietnam This was true regardless of how much debt was still owed or how many payments on the loan had or had not been made. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. Another aspect for the remission of all debts within Israel in numerous respects from the specific portfolio.. Absolutely a book of great importance, at least for lots of religious people the and... Related to a close, we could probably all use a rest God made a new covenant can most... That once every seven years any Hebrews used as slaves among the would. 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